Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.331354 0.385664 0.445722 0.517012 0.599287 0.691216 0.801690
2025-03-23 0.255573 0.332358 0.426602 0.550547 0.709044 0.904712 1.164423
2025-03-30 0.197146 0.277830 0.384598 0.535740 0.743697 1.019246 1.411567
2025-04-06 0.157504 0.237158 0.349282 0.517863 0.764065 1.109551 1.630142
2025-04-13 0.129171 0.206082 0.320340 0.501358 0.779731 1.190165 1.839515
2025-04-20 0.112592 0.189131 0.308411 0.506357 0.824956 1.315598 2.125783
2025-04-27 0.103854 0.182759 0.311143 0.533261 0.905663 1.501891 2.524692
2025-05-04 0.094489 0.173681 0.307832 0.549122 0.969321 1.666771 2.906189
2025-05-11 0.084895 0.162624 0.299411 0.554636 1.015277 1.806180 3.258946
2025-05-18 0.075555 0.150550 0.287405 0.551821 1.045508 1.920744 3.579447
2025-05-25 0.066970 0.138589 0.273909 0.544227 1.065524 2.018328 3.878460
2025-06-01 0.060279 0.129321 0.264161 0.542188 1.095037 2.135066 4.223203
2025-06-08 0.052266 0.116405 0.246041 0.522240 1.089102 2.187635 4.457734
2025-06-15 0.050647 0.116702 0.254433 0.556721 1.195128 2.465910 5.161053
2025-06-22 0.044640 0.106566 0.239931 0.541785 1.198418 2.542148 5.469343
2025-06-29 0.039177 0.096817 0.224927 0.523713 1.192636 2.598753 5.742345
2025-07-06 0.034533 0.088260 0.211389 0.507028 1.187586 2.655731 6.021147
2025-07-13 0.031956 0.084281 0.207676 0.512082 1.231187 2.820258 6.548306
2025-07-20 0.031033 0.084271 0.213186 0.539280 1.328250 3.110815 7.383069
2025-07-27 0.029476 0.082408 0.214012 0.555314 1.400924 3.353977 8.134946
2025-08-03 0.027469 0.079063 0.210760 0.560888 1.449081 3.545771 8.787118
2025-08-10 0.025230 0.074750 0.204498 0.558043 1.476104 3.690590 9.342220
2025-08-17 0.022988 0.070091 0.196744 0.550365 1.490068 3.805537 9.836677